The Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers on the 2024 Buffalo Bills
With their high-powered offense led by quarterback Josh Allen, the Buffalo Bills offer several intriguing options in fantasy football. Here, we delve into three players who could outperform expectations and become contributors to your fantasy team.
3. Ray Davis
Ray Davis, a newly drafted running back for the Buffalo Bills, is a sleeper with some upside. Currently, Davis’ PPR ADP is RB52, but he has the potential to break into the RB30 range. Davis is expected to be utilized in short-yardage and goal-line situations, making him a viable touchdown threat, especially if the Bills look to reduce some of the red-zone burden on Josh Allen. While Davis might not be a lock to start every week, his potential to become a red-zone favorite and benefit from any mishaps in the Bills’ backfield makes him a medium-upside sleeper pick.
2. Khalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir is another Buffalo Bills player who could exceed expectations this season. Shakir’s current PPR ADP is 113th overall, making him the WR56. Last season, Shakir finished 203rd overall with 113.1 fantasy points, ranking as the WR61. His current ADP indicates that fantasy managers are starting to recognize his potential, although it still might not fully reflect his upside.
Shakir is entering the season as the potential third wide receiver in the Bills' pecking order. With Josh Allen's ability to distribute the ball effectively, Shakir will have ample opportunities to make plays. Shakir has the talent and the situation to significantly outperform his ADP. Notable players around the WR40 mark, such as Chris Godwin and Brian Thomas Jr., provide a benchmark for Shakir's potential value. If Shakir becomes one of Allen's favored targets, a top 40 WR finish is not out of the question.
1. Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid stands out as a premier sleeper for the 2024 season. Last year, Kincaid finished as the TE11 in PPR leagues, accumulating 150.3 total fantasy points, just 0.2 points shy of a top-10 finish (Dalton Schultz secured the TE10 spot with 150.5 points). Kincaid’s production came from 73 receptions for 673 yards and 2 touchdowns, showcasing his ability to be a reliable target.
As of June 2024, Kincaid's PPR ADP is 53rd overall, placing him as the TE5. Given his performance last season and the potential for increased chemistry with Josh Allen, Kincaid is poised for a breakout year. Allen has shown a propensity to lean on his tight ends, and Kincaid could quickly become his number one target in 2024. The potential for Kincaid to finish as a top 3 tight end in 2024 is very real, making him a fantastic value pick at his current ADP.
Analyzing the Bills' Offense
The Buffalo Bills boast one of the most dynamic offenses in the NFL, largely thanks to Josh Allen’s dual-threat capabilities. Allen's ability to extend plays with his legs and make deep throws downfield creates numerous opportunities for his receivers and tight ends. I think it’s fair to assume the team’s 2024 offensive scheme will be designed to maximize the talents of its skill players, making the Bills a fertile ground for fantasy football success.
Dalton Kincaid, Khalil Shakir, and Ray Davis all stand to benefit from this high-octane offense. With his potential to become a top target for Allen, Kincaid offers immense value at the tight end position. Shakir, likely to see an increased role, could emerge as a reliable WR3. Meanwhile, with his touchdown potential, Davis provides a tremendous late-round flier who could pay off handsomely if he capitalizes on his opportunities.
June 2024 PPR ADP Source: https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/adp/ppr-overall.php
2023 Fantasy Football Leaders Source: https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/reports/leaders/ppr.php?year=2023